A More Decisive Electorate May Be Making Early Polls Better
New research from Robert Griffin suggests that early polling is becoming more accurate in its predictions, but it may be that voters are just making up their minds earlier.
Robert Griffin is the Research Director, and a participating author, for the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group. He is the co-author and lead data analyst for the “States of Change” project — a collaboration between the Center for American Progress, demographer William Frey of the Brookings Institution, and the Bipartisan Policy Center. He also serves on the editorial committee of PS: Political Science and Politics, the journal of record for the American Political Science Association.
Before joining the Voter Study Group, Robert was the Associate Director of Research at the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI), focusing on demographic change and American political behavior. He also served as a Director of Quantitative Analysis at the Center for American Progress. Robert has taught courses on research methodology, statistics, public opinion, and political advocacy for The George Washington University, Pennsylvania State University, and Loyola University Chicago. He received his Ph.D. in political science and research methodology from The George Washington University.
New research from Robert Griffin suggests that early polling is becoming more accurate in its predictions, but it may be that voters are just making up their minds earlier.
Robert Griffin gives an overview of how opinions have — or have not — changed during President Trump’s first two years in office and what voters are looking for in future candidates.
Robert Griffin and Joe Goldman analyze how Americans' perceptions surrounding the Russia investigation have changed or remained unaffected as Robert Mueller appears to be winding down his examination.
Robert Griffin and John Sides dispute claims that Americans experiencing economic hardship are President Trump’s base by using a detailed set of questions that measure “economic distress” rather than general views about the economy.
Robert Griffin and Joe Goldman examine Americans' reactions toward the special counsel, Robert Mueller, and the Russia investigation.
Robert Griffin’s report explores the recent increase in partisan switching and constructs a portrait of voters who changed their party affiliation in the 2016 presidential election.
Robert Griffin's insights spotlight voter attitudes toward the new administration, the direction of the country, and other topics from Trump's first six months in office.
Robert Griffin and Ruy Teixeira's report on the beliefs and attitudes that characterized Donald Trump’s supporters in 2016.
Subscribe to our mailing list for updates on new reports, survey data releases, and other upcoming events.
